In a recent tweet that has garnered significant attention, Salman Khan highlighted an insightful analysis by Waqar Malik regarding the geopolitical landscape of Pakistan. The discussion reflects on various critical scenarios that could shape the future of the region and the country. Here, we summarize the key points discussed by Malik and Khan, focusing on their implications for Pakistan’s national security, diplomatic relations, and internal stability.

### Kashmir Compromised for Good

One of the most pressing issues in South Asian politics is the status of Kashmir, a region claimed by both India and Pakistan. The tweet suggests a bleak future where Kashmir may be permanently compromised. This scenario raises concerns about the long-term implications for Pakistani sovereignty and its relationship with India. The idea of a compromised Kashmir could lead to a significant shift in Pakistan’s foreign policy and strategy, potentially pushing the country to seek new alliances and redefine its stance on regional security.

### Recognition of Israel

The recognition of Israel by Pakistan has been a contentious topic. The tweet hints at a possible shift in Pakistan’s stance towards Israel, which could open new avenues for diplomatic relations. This recognition could enhance Pakistan’s standing in the Middle East but may also lead to domestic backlash from various political factions and citizens who staunchly support the Palestinian cause. The delicate balance between international diplomacy and national sentiment would require careful navigation by Pakistani leadership.

### Rolling Back CPEC

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a significant initiative aimed at boosting Pakistan’s economy through infrastructure development and investment. However, the mention of rolling back CPEC in the tweet raises alarms about the potential economic repercussions for Pakistan. A reduction or withdrawal of Chinese investment could severely impact the country’s economic growth and stability. This scenario underscores the importance of maintaining strong bilateral ties with China while addressing any domestic challenges that may arise from such partnerships.

### Compromise on Nukes

Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is a cornerstone of its defense strategy, serving as a deterrent against external threats, particularly from India. The suggestion of a compromise on nuclear capabilities, potentially involving joint custody with Saudi Arabia, is alarming for many. Such a move could undermine Pakistan’s sovereignty and strategic independence, raising questions about its ability to protect national interests. This scenario highlights the complexities of international relations and defense agreements, particularly in a nuclear context.

### Balkanization of Pakistan

The concept of “balkanization” refers to the fragmentation of a region into smaller, often hostile units. The tweet warns of potential internal strife leading to the balkanization of Pakistan, which could exacerbate existing ethnic and political tensions. This scenario poses a significant threat to national unity and stability, as fragmented governance could lead to increased violence and insecurity. Addressing the root causes of internal discord is crucial for maintaining a cohesive national identity.

### Conclusion: Navigating Complex Challenges

The scenarios discussed in Salman Khan’s tweet reflect a range of complex challenges facing Pakistan in the coming years. From the status of Kashmir to nuclear policies and economic partnerships, these issues require astute political leadership and strategic foresight. Pakistan must navigate these challenges by fostering strong diplomatic relations, ensuring economic stability, and addressing internal divisions to prevent potential fragmentation.

In light of these scenarios, it is imperative for Pakistan to engage in proactive diplomacy, strengthen its defense capabilities, and promote national unity. The future of Pakistan hinges on its ability to adapt to changing geopolitical dynamics and maintain its sovereignty while navigating the intricate web of regional and global politics. The conversation initiated by Khan and Malik serves as a crucial reminder of the multifaceted challenges ahead and the need for a collective effort to secure a stable and prosperous future for Pakistan.

As these discussions evolve, continued engagement and analysis will be essential for understanding the implications of these scenarios on Pakistan’s national and regional security. Policymakers, scholars, and citizens alike must remain vigilant and informed to ensure that the nation can effectively respond to these potential crises.

Excellent analysis by @RealWaqarMaliks bhai. We discussed these scenarios back in 2022:
1. Kashmir compromised for good
2. Recognition of Israel
3. Rolling back CPEC
4. Compromise on nukes, potentially under joint custody with Saudi Arabia
5. Balkanisation of Pakistan

In exactly… pic.twitter.com/zBPaFG2tWf

— Salman Khan (@FrankfurtPK) March 27, 2025

Excellent analysis by @RealWaqarMaliks bhai

It’s not every day that you come across an insightful breakdown of complex geopolitical scenarios, but that’s exactly what @RealWaqarMaliks delivered. Back in 2022, he and Salman Khan discussed some pretty serious implications for Pakistan’s future, and it seems like these discussions have resurfaced with even greater urgency today. Let’s dive into those scenarios and what they could mean for Pakistan moving forward.

Kashmir compromised for good

The Kashmir issue has been a longstanding point of contention between India and Pakistan. The idea that Kashmir could be compromised for good is alarming for many. The region has a rich history and is home to a diverse population, and any resolution that sacrifices their rights could lead to significant unrest. The implications of such a compromise could ripple through South Asia, affecting not just Pakistan but also the broader regional dynamics.

As discussed by various analysts, the historical context of Kashmir, combined with current political climates, makes it a ticking time bomb. The potential for peace may seem bleak if both nations cannot find common ground. The recognition of the reality on the ground, coupled with international pressure, could lead to difficult decisions that may not align with the wishes of the people in Kashmir. Exploring this scenario is critical for anyone invested in South Asian geopolitics.

Recognition of Israel

The recognition of Israel by Pakistan is another controversial topic that has been floated in discussions like those by @RealWaqarMaliks. For many, this scenario is unthinkable, given Pakistan’s historical stance on Palestine. However, geopolitical alliances are shifting rapidly. The normalization of relations between Israel and several Arab nations has changed the landscape entirely. If Pakistan were to recognize Israel, it would not only alter its foreign policy but would also affect its relationships with other Muslim-majority countries.

Some argue that recognizing Israel could bring economic benefits and strengthen ties with Western countries, while others fear it would alienate Pakistan from its traditional allies. The debate is rich with emotions and implications, and it’s essential to consider the voices of those who would be affected by such a decision.

Rolling back CPEC

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has been a game-changer for Pakistan’s economy, yet the idea of rolling back CPEC has been discussed in various circles. This major infrastructure project has the potential to transform Pakistan’s economic landscape, but it is not without its criticisms. Some argue that it has led to increased debt and dependency on China, raising concerns about sovereignty and economic stability.

If the project were to be rolled back, it could have dire consequences for Pakistan’s economic growth and infrastructure development. The discussions around CPEC often touch on the balance of power, national interests, and the holistic benefits for the Pakistani people. A careful examination of this scenario is crucial for understanding the future economic landscape of Pakistan.

Compromise on nukes, potentially under joint custody with Saudi Arabia

Now, let’s talk about something that might make your heart race: the idea of Pakistan compromising on its nuclear capabilities, potentially placing them under joint custody with Saudi Arabia. This is not just a hypothetical scenario; it raises questions about national security, sovereignty, and international relations.

Pakistan has long held its nuclear arsenal as a cornerstone of its defense strategy. The thought of sharing this capability—especially with a nation like Saudi Arabia—could send shockwaves through the region. Many would argue that such a move could lead to greater security concerns, while others might see it as a strategic partnership that could enhance Pakistan’s standing in the Middle East.

However, the potential risks associated with compromising on nuclear capabilities are immense. It could invite scrutiny and provoke responses from other regional powers, leading to an arms race or heightened tensions. Engaging with this scenario requires a nuanced understanding of the geopolitical dynamics at play.

Balkanisation of Pakistan

Lastly, the concept of the balkanisation of Pakistan is perhaps the most unsettling of all the scenarios discussed. The term “Balkanisation” refers to the fragmentation of a region into smaller, often hostile units. For a country like Pakistan, which is already grappling with various internal divisions, this scenario is a cause for concern.

With ongoing ethnic, linguistic, and political tensions, the idea of balkanisation could become a reality if these issues are not addressed. It raises critical questions about national identity, unity, and governance. The potential for instability and conflict is high if the root causes of discontent are not tackled effectively.

As we look at these five scenarios discussed by @RealWaqarMaliks and Salman Khan, it’s clear that each one carries profound implications for the future of Pakistan. Whether it’s the compromise on Kashmir, the recognition of Israel, the status of CPEC, nuclear custodianship, or the threat of balkanisation, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Engaging with the Future

It’s essential to engage with these discussions not just as passive observers but as active participants in shaping the discourse around Pakistan’s future. The analysis provided by thought leaders like @RealWaqarMaliks opens the floor for conversations that are critical for the nation’s trajectory. It invites us to consider the multifaceted aspects of these scenarios and their potential outcomes.

So, what does this mean for you? It means staying informed, being part of the conversation, and understanding the complexities involved. The future of Pakistan is intertwined with these issues, and each of us has a role to play in advocating for a stable, prosperous, and united nation. Keeping an eye on these developments and their implications can help us all contribute to a better understanding of the challenges ahead.