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1. HRRR weather forecast accuracy
2. Franklin County storm development
3. SE PA severe weather monitoring
Clearly the HRRR is clueless, and there are storms developing well south in a line over Franklin County that it's completely missing. Since it has outflow with it currently, this may support further development across the rest of SE PA and is being monitored for a STW by SPC.
The HRRR weather model appears to be missing developing storms in Franklin County, prompting concerns about its accuracy. With outflow present, there is potential for further severe weather in southeastern Pennsylvania. The situation is being closely monitored for a possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch by the Storm Prediction Center. Meteorologist Bobby Martrich from EPAWA highlighted the discrepancies in a recent tweet, urging caution and vigilance. Stay tuned for updates on this evolving weather situation. Follow EPAWA on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts and alerts. #weather #severeweather #HRRR #forecasting #stormwatch
Clearly the HRRR is clueless, and there are storms developing well south in a line over Franklin County that it’s completely missing. Since it has outflow with it currently, this may support further development across the rest of SE PA and is being monitored for a STW by SPC. pic.twitter.com/CdJe27jmL4
— Bobby Martrich | EPAWA (@epawawx) June 26, 2024
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If you’ve been keeping an eye on the weather in southeastern Pennsylvania, you might have come across a recent tweet from Bobby Martrich of EPAWA Weather Consulting. In the tweet, he mentions how the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model seems to be missing some developing storms in Franklin County. This oversight could potentially lead to further storm development across the rest of southeastern PA, triggering a watch from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC).
The HRRR model is a valuable tool used by meteorologists to predict short-term weather patterns. However, as with any forecasting model, it is not infallible. In this particular case, the model failed to detect storms developing in Franklin County, indicating a limitation in its accuracy. This highlights the importance of not relying solely on one model for weather predictions and the need for meteorologists to use a combination of tools and their expertise to provide accurate forecasts.
The storms that the HRRR missed in Franklin County have the potential to impact the surrounding areas in southeastern PA. The outflow from these storms could lead to further development, creating a chain reaction of severe weather events. This is why the SPC is keeping a close eye on the situation and considering issuing a Severe Thunderstorm Watch (STW) to warn residents of possible hazardous weather conditions.
It’s important for residents in the affected areas to stay informed and prepared for any potential severe weather. Paying attention to updates from reputable sources like EPAWA Weather Consulting and the SPC can help you take the necessary precautions to stay safe during inclement weather. Make sure to have a plan in place, know where to seek shelter, and have emergency supplies on hand in case of a severe weather event.
As we navigate through the unpredictability of weather patterns, it’s crucial to remember that forecasts are not set in stone. Meteorology is a complex science that involves analyzing a multitude of variables, and sometimes, unexpected developments can occur. By staying informed and being proactive in preparing for severe weather, you can help ensure the safety of yourself and your loved ones.
In conclusion, the recent oversight by the HRRR model serves as a reminder of the dynamic nature of weather forecasting. While models provide valuable insights, they are not foolproof, and it’s essential to approach weather predictions with caution and a critical eye. By staying vigilant and heeding warnings from reliable sources, you can navigate through any weather-related challenges that come your way. Stay safe, stay informed, and be prepared for whatever Mother Nature throws at you.
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